• LM-2.3 LM-2.3 Early Warning Indicators

    • LM-2.3.1

      To complement liquidity metrics, banks must adopt a set of indicators that are more readily available, either internally or from the market, to help in identifying at an early stage emerging risks in their liquidity risk positions or potential funding needs, so that management review and where necessary, mitigating measures can be undertaken promptly.

      August 2018

    • LM-2.3.2

      Such early warning indicators can be qualitative or quantitative in nature and may include, but are not limited to, the following:

      (a) Rapid asset growth, especially when funded with potentially volatile liabilities;
      (b) Growing concentrations on certain assets or liabilities or funding sources;
      (c) Increasing currency mismatches;
      (d) Increasing overall funding costs;
      (e) Worsening cash-flow or structural liquidity positions as evidenced by widening negative maturity mismatches, especially in the short-term time bands (e.g. up to 1 month);
      (f) A decrease in weighted average maturity of liabilities;
      (g) Repeated incidents of positions approaching or breaching internal or regulatory limits;
      (h) Negative trends or heightened risk, such as rising delinquencies or losses, associated with a particular business, product or activity;
      (i) Significant deterioration in earnings, asset quality, and overall financial condition;
      (j) Negative publicity;
      (k) A credit rating downgrade;
      (l) Stock price declines;
      (m) Widening spreads on credit default swaps or senior and subordinated debt;
      (n) Counterparties beginning to request additional collateral for credit exposures or to resist entering into new transactions to provide unsecured or longer dated funding;
      (o) Reduction in available credit lines from correspondent banks;
      (p) Increasing trends of retail deposit withdrawals;
      (q) Increasing redemptions of certificates of deposit before maturity; and
      (r) Difficulty in accessing longer-term funding or placing short-term liabilities (e.g. commercial paper).
      August 2018