CA-13.4 CA-13.4 Scenario Approach
CA-13.4.1
As stated in Section CA-13.1,
conventional bank licensees which have a significant level ofoptions trading activities, or have complexoptions trading strategies, must use more sophisticated methods for measuring and monitoring theoptions risks.Conventional bank licensees with the appropriate capability will be permitted, with the prior approval of the CBB, to base themarket risk capital charge foroptions portfolios and associatedhedging positions on scenario matrix analysis. Before giving its approval, the CBB will closely review the accuracy of the analysis that is constructed. Furthermore, like in the case of internal models, theconventional bank licensees' use of scenario analysis as part of the standardised methodology will also be subject to external validation, and to those of the qualitative standards listed in Chapter CA-14 which are appropriate given the nature of the business.January 2015CA-13.4.2
The scenario matrix analysis involves specifying a fixed range of changes in the
option portfolio's risk factors and calculating changes in the value of theoption portfolio at various points along this "grid" or "matrix". For the purpose of calculating the capital charge, theconventional bank licensee must revalue theoption portfolio using matrices for simultaneous changes in theoption 's underlying rate or price and in the volatility of that rate or price. A different matrix is set up for each individual underlying as defined in Section CA-13.3. As an alternative, in respect of interest rateoptions ,conventional bank licensees which are significant traders in suchoptions are permitted to base the calculation on a minimum of six sets of time- bands. When applying this alternative method, not more than three of the time-bands as defined in Chapter CA-9 must be combined into any one set.January 2015CA-13.4.3
The first dimension of the matrix involves a specified range of changes in the
option 's underlying rate or price. The CBB has set the range, for each risk category, as follows:(a) Interest rate related instruments — The range for interest rates is consistent with the assumed changes in yield set out in Section CA-9.5. Thoseconventional bank licensees applying the alternative method of grouping time-bands into sets, as explained in Paragraph CA-13.4.2, must use, for each set of time-bands, the highest of the assumed changes in yield applicable to the individual time-bands in that group. If, for example, the time-bands 3 to 4 years, 4 to 5 years and 5 to 7 years are combined, the highest assumed change in yield of these three bands would be 0.75 which would be applicable to that set;(b) For equity instruments, the range is ±8%;(c) For foreign exchange and gold, the range is ±8%; and(d) Forcommodities , the range is ±15%.For all risk categories, at least seven observations (including the current observation) must be used to divide the range into equally spaced intervals.
January 2015CA-13.4.4
The second dimension of the matrix entails a change in the volatility of the underlying rate or price. A single change in the volatility of the underlying rate or price equal to a shift in volatility of ±25% is applied.
January 2015CA-13.4.5
The CBB will closely monitor the need to reset the parameters for the amounts by which the price of the underlying instrument and volatility must be shifted to form the rows and columns of the scenario matrix. The parameters set, as above, only reflect general
market risk (see Paragraphs CA-13.4.10 to CA-13.4.12).January 2015CA-13.4.6
After calculating the matrix, each cell contains the net profit or loss of the
option and the underlyinghedge instrument. The generalmarket risk capital charge for each underlying is then calculated as the largest loss contained in the matrix.January 2015CA-13.4.7
In addition to the capital charge calculated as above, the specific risk capital charge is determined separately by multiplying the delta-equivalent of each
option position by the specific risk weights set out in Chapters CA-9 through CA-12.January 2015CA-13.4.8
To summarise, capital requirements for, say
OTC options , applying the scenario approach are as follows:(a)Counterparty risk capital charges (on purchasedoptions only), calculated in accordance with thecredit risk rules (see also Appendix CA-2); PLUS(b) Specific risk capital charges (calculated as explained in Paragraph CA-13.4.7); PLUS(c) Directional and volatility risk capital charges (i.e., the worst case loss from a given scenario matrix analysis).January 2015CA-13.4.9
Conventional bank licensees doing business in certain classes of complex exoticoptions (e.g. barrieroptions involving discontinuities in deltas etc.), or inoptions at the money that are close to expiry, are required to use either the scenario approach or the internal models approach, both of which can accommodate more detailed revaluation approaches. The CBB expects the concernedconventional bank licensees to work with it closely to produce an agreed method, within the framework of these rules. If aconventional bank licensee uses scenario matrix analysis, it must be able to demonstrate that no substantially larger loss could fall between the nodes.January 2015CA-13.4.10
In drawing up the delta-plus and the scenario approaches, the CBB's present set of rules do not attempt to capture specific risk other than the delta-related elements (which are captured as explained in Paragraphs CA-13.4.7 and CA-13.4.11). The CBB recognises that introduction of those other specific risk elements will make the measurement framework much more complex. On the other hand, the simplifying assumptions used in these rules will result in a relatively conservative treatment of certain
options positions.January 2015CA-13.4.11
In addition to the
options risks described earlier in this Chapter, the CBB is conscious of the other risks also associated withoptions , e.g., rho or interest rate risk (the rate of change of the value of theoption with respect to the interest rate) and theta (the rate of change of the value of theoption with respect to time). While not proposing a measurement system for those risks at present, the CBB expectsconventional bank licensees undertaking significantoptions business, at the very least, to monitor such risks closely. Additionally,conventional bank licensees are permitted to incorporate rho into their capital calculations for interest rate risk, if they wish to do so.January 2015CA-13.4.12
The CBB will closely review the treatment of
options for the calculation ofmarket risk capital charges, particularly in the light of the aspects described in Paragraphs CA-13.4.10 and CA-13.4.11.January 2015