• CA-13.4 CA-13.4 Scenario Approach

    • CA-13.4.1

      As stated in Section CA-13.1, conventional bank licensees which have a significant level of options trading activities, or have complex options trading strategies, must use more sophisticated methods for measuring and monitoring the options risks. Conventional bank licensees with the appropriate capability will be permitted, with the prior approval of the CBB, to base the market risk capital charge for options portfolios and associated hedging positions on scenario matrix analysis. Before giving its approval, the CBB will closely review the accuracy of the analysis that is constructed. Furthermore, like in the case of internal models, the conventional bank licensees' use of scenario analysis as part of the standardised methodology will also be subject to external validation, and to those of the qualitative standards listed in Chapter CA-14 which are appropriate given the nature of the business.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.2

      The scenario matrix analysis involves specifying a fixed range of changes in the option portfolio's risk factors and calculating changes in the value of the option portfolio at various points along this "grid" or "matrix". For the purpose of calculating the capital charge, the conventional bank licensee must revalue the option portfolio using matrices for simultaneous changes in the option's underlying rate or price and in the volatility of that rate or price. A different matrix is set up for each individual underlying as defined in Section CA-13.3. As an alternative, in respect of interest rate options, conventional bank licensees which are significant traders in such options are permitted to base the calculation on a minimum of six sets of time- bands. When applying this alternative method, not more than three of the time-bands as defined in Chapter CA-9 must be combined into any one set.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.3

      The first dimension of the matrix involves a specified range of changes in the option's underlying rate or price. The CBB has set the range, for each risk category, as follows:

      (a) Interest rate related instruments — The range for interest rates is consistent with the assumed changes in yield set out in Section CA-9.5. Those conventional bank licensees applying the alternative method of grouping time-bands into sets, as explained in Paragraph CA-13.4.2, must use, for each set of time-bands, the highest of the assumed changes in yield applicable to the individual time-bands in that group. If, for example, the time-bands 3 to 4 years, 4 to 5 years and 5 to 7 years are combined, the highest assumed change in yield of these three bands would be 0.75 which would be applicable to that set;
      (b) For equity instruments, the range is ±8%;
      (c) For foreign exchange and gold, the range is ±8%; and
      (d) For commodities, the range is ±15%.

      For all risk categories, at least seven observations (including the current observation) must be used to divide the range into equally spaced intervals.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.4

      The second dimension of the matrix entails a change in the volatility of the underlying rate or price. A single change in the volatility of the underlying rate or price equal to a shift in volatility of ±25% is applied.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.5

      The CBB will closely monitor the need to reset the parameters for the amounts by which the price of the underlying instrument and volatility must be shifted to form the rows and columns of the scenario matrix. The parameters set, as above, only reflect general market risk (see Paragraphs CA-13.4.10 to CA-13.4.12).

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.6

      After calculating the matrix, each cell contains the net profit or loss of the option and the underlying hedge instrument. The general market risk capital charge for each underlying is then calculated as the largest loss contained in the matrix.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.7

      In addition to the capital charge calculated as above, the specific risk capital charge is determined separately by multiplying the delta-equivalent of each option position by the specific risk weights set out in Chapters CA-9 through CA-12.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.8

      To summarise, capital requirements for, say OTC options, applying the scenario approach are as follows:

      (a) Counterparty risk capital charges (on purchased options only), calculated in accordance with the credit risk rules (see also Appendix CA-2); PLUS
      (b) Specific risk capital charges (calculated as explained in Paragraph CA-13.4.7); PLUS
      (c) Directional and volatility risk capital charges (i.e., the worst case loss from a given scenario matrix analysis).
      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.9

      Conventional bank licensees doing business in certain classes of complex exotic options (e.g. barrier options involving discontinuities in deltas etc.), or in options at the money that are close to expiry, are required to use either the scenario approach or the internal models approach, both of which can accommodate more detailed revaluation approaches. The CBB expects the concerned conventional bank licensees to work with it closely to produce an agreed method, within the framework of these rules. If a conventional bank licensee uses scenario matrix analysis, it must be able to demonstrate that no substantially larger loss could fall between the nodes.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.10

      In drawing up the delta-plus and the scenario approaches, the CBB's present set of rules do not attempt to capture specific risk other than the delta-related elements (which are captured as explained in Paragraphs CA-13.4.7 and CA-13.4.11). The CBB recognises that introduction of those other specific risk elements will make the measurement framework much more complex. On the other hand, the simplifying assumptions used in these rules will result in a relatively conservative treatment of certain options positions.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.11

      In addition to the options risks described earlier in this Chapter, the CBB is conscious of the other risks also associated with options, e.g., rho or interest rate risk (the rate of change of the value of the option with respect to the interest rate) and theta (the rate of change of the value of the option with respect to time). While not proposing a measurement system for those risks at present, the CBB expects conventional bank licensees undertaking significant options business, at the very least, to monitor such risks closely. Additionally, conventional bank licensees are permitted to incorporate rho into their capital calculations for interest rate risk, if they wish to do so.

      January 2015

    • CA-13.4.12

      The CBB will closely review the treatment of options for the calculation of market risk capital charges, particularly in the light of the aspects described in Paragraphs CA-13.4.10 and CA-13.4.11.

      January 2015